Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.830055 4.084047 4.358238 4.678432 5.044981 5.455126 5.954052
2025-04-06 3.434809 3.768914 4.150150 4.624539 5.209871 5.924325 6.889866
2025-04-13 3.091669 3.462386 3.902880 4.478379 5.233052 6.226647 7.710648
2025-04-20 2.927973 3.346401 3.864469 4.577228 5.577810 7.020341 9.479108
2025-04-27 2.795137 3.252234 3.839467 4.687455 5.960966 7.984051 12.027094
2025-05-04 2.707085 3.204509 3.867130 4.872549 6.496918 9.390093 16.584224
2025-05-11 2.594990 3.113112 3.823307 4.945491 6.876754 10.709396 22.941286
2025-05-18 2.472796 2.996674 3.730680 4.928279 7.100096 11.850273 31.867646
2025-05-25 2.321247 2.828010 3.546342 4.738883 6.965773 12.126427 38.726162
2025-06-01 2.215214 2.716346 3.436896 4.659261 7.028935 12.966503 55.945546
2025-06-08 2.129339 2.627687 3.354409 4.614385 7.153817 14.092116 100.481390
2025-06-15 2.077855 2.585087 3.338359 4.682394 7.539139 16.418683 1313.014856
2025-06-22 1.999533 2.505192 3.268154 4.664787 7.783646 18.857899 NaN
2025-06-29 1.913144 2.408809 3.165140 4.575394 7.842731 20.784699 NaN
2025-07-06 1.819029 2.296216 3.028654 4.407780 7.667453 21.427754 NaN
2025-07-13 1.778097 2.262016 3.018172 4.485509 8.181398 27.778730 NaN
2025-07-20 1.742409 2.233569 3.014764 4.577874 8.792794 39.081106 NaN
2025-07-27 1.720422 2.224863 3.043945 4.744215 9.745511 72.081587 NaN
2025-08-03 1.683858 2.190823 3.025947 4.805644 10.398068 152.139089 NaN
2025-08-10 1.638411 2.140104 2.974363 4.783559 10.736207 428.623948 NaN
2025-08-17 1.574530 2.056908 2.859278 4.600252 10.336672 434.543643 NaN
2025-08-24 1.528739 2.001317 2.791388 4.522099 10.374054 3191.451001 NaN
2025-08-31 1.490380 1.956235 2.740014 4.477657 10.551990 NaN NaN